I've long thought there would be a coup d'état in the US during Trump's second term. I still think that will happen. Not that it will look like a coup to the outside world. My best guess is that the White House will, sadly, announce that Trump had a 'pillow event' and suffocated in his sleep.
I'm beginning to wonder if there won't be a different type of 'coup', a fully legal and constitutional removal of Trump from office. How might this work?
The simple answer is the 25th Amendment to the Constitution (Section 4), which allows the President to be removed from office by a majority of the Cabinet. They would have to plan it carefully, but Vance and the cabinet could pull it off. There are some pesky requirements, such as requiring two-thirds of the House and Senate to agree (within twenty-one days), but nothing insurmountable.
After all, Trump is demonstrably batshit crazy. And as we've seen time and again, when public opinion and the threat of retaliation are removed, irrevocable change can happen very quickly. Trump is a mob boss, and when his power to threaten is removed, his ability to keep those he's insulted in line will also disappear.
What can Vance do?
1. Very, very quietly, sound out, through unconnected intermediaries, I'm sure, the views of cabinet ministers, and what would be their price. They've all proven that they are for sale, so ignore any calls to conscience or 'the good of the country', and find out what their price is. For most, it will be a promise to keep them in post while also providing them with a pre-signed, undated pardon.
2. Sound out various leaders in the Republican Congressional representatives (and Senators) who are known to be disgruntled with Trump, or who are a serious risk of being thrown out by voters in November. Find out their price. There's always a price.
3. Wait for Trump's next visit to Walter Reed to spring the trap. When he is being treated or infuses, or whatever is happening that results in his monthy two-day trip and bruised hands, that is when to convene the cabinet, and with all documents pre-prepared, land "transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office".
All presidential authority immediately transfers to Vance, but he'll have to move quickly, including the backup documents for when Trump (through his lawyers now doubt) "transmits to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives his written declaration that no inability exists". Those can be prepared in advance, and also "transmitted".
Now begins the twenty-one-day period for Congress and the Senate to decide.
That's plenty of time to arrest Don Jr. and the sychopants who didn't go along with the plot for various forms of corruption, and to release some of the worst of the worst Epstein Files. Explicit corruption allegations would get big play, and Fox News would be told (again, person-to-person between Vance/others and Murdoch) what the new script is.
Palentir (and others) will also be promised windfalls from a new regime, and will no doubt be able to produce, on demand, enough damning material on almost any Representative or Senator who does not go along with the plan once it is underway.
That's three weeks for the scales to fall from their eyes, and the payoff deals with the required Congressional reps and Senators to be agreed upon. There are enough Representatives and Senators who hate his guts and have been publicly shamed by him into subservience, all of whom will be happy for the chance to 'clear their own names' before November.
It would be a rough three weeks, but during that time, Trump will be held, probably heavily sedated. After all, he's been declared "unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office", possibly with the initial argument that he is unwell, thereby justifying the sedation.
Will it happen? Sadly, probably not.
Ah, to dream.
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